Price Forecasting Services
From Risk Management
Whether it’s natural gas or carbon credits, your company can eliminate “gut” as a decision-making factor when taking positions in the market. Summit Energy’s price forecasts serve as a quantitative decision-making tool for determining the risk and reward of taking a market position.
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Services Details
We project commodity prices using a proprietary price-forecasting model built on statistical analysis of market fundamentals. We use a Monte Carlo simulation to evaluate thousands of scenarios based on individual regressions for each component of supply and demand. By compiling and sorting these scenario outcomes, our energy risk management specialists determine the probability of a given price occurring in the market.
Summit Energy not only forecasts high and low prices but also provides you with the potential risk and reward of taking action or not taking action within that range. Armed with this information, you can confidently position your company by weighing your risk tolerance against the price level you’d like to achieve.
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